General election 2024

Caerfyrddin

Tactical voting recommendation

Withdrawn

Notional 2019 election result

  Tories 40.7%

  Plaid 28.6%

  Labour 25.5%

  Brexit Party 3.7%

  Lib Dem 1.5%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 34% Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire (2019), 66% Carmarthen East and Dinefwr (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

We have removed this tactical voting recommendation because it was contradicted by multiple independent polls. Because of the risk of error, we will not be making a recommendation in this constituency.

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