Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket

To vote tactically here, vote

Labour

Peter Prinsley

Notional 2019 election result

Tories 61.4%

Labour 20.6%

Green 14.5%

Independent 2.5%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 90% Bury St Edmunds (2019), 10% West Suffolk (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

Labour would have been the most likely second place in 2019 under these new boundaries, so should be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster	Winner	Runner-up	Implied tactical
YouGov	Tory 34%	Labour 34%	Labour
Survation	Tory 29%	Labour 28%	Labour
Ipsos	Labour 31%	Tory 30%	Labour
Savanta	Labour 35%	Tory 29%	Labour
Focaldata	Labour 34%	Tory 34%	Labour
WeThink	Tory 30%	Labour 29%	Labour
Electoral Calculus	Labour 37%	Tory 22%	Labour
More in Common	Labour 33%	Tory 32%	Labour
JL Partners	Tory 30%	Labour 28%	Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.