Bridlington and The Wolds

To vote tactically here, vote

Labour

Sarah Carter

Notional 2019 election result

Tories 64.2%

Labour 21.5%

Lib Dem 8.1%

The Yorkshire Party 3.1%

Green 3.1%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 11% Beverley and Holderness (2019), 89% East Yorkshire (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

Labour would have been the most likely second place in 2019 under these new boundaries, so should be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster	Winner	Runner-up	Implied tactical
YouGov	Tory 34%	Labour 31%	Labour
Survation	Labour 35%	Tory 33%	Labour
Ipsos	Tory 36%	Labour 33%	Labour
Savanta	Labour 36%	Tory 27%	Labour
Focaldata	Tory 35%	Reform 28%	Labour
WeThink	Tory 33%	Labour 24%	Labour
Electoral Calculus	Labour 32%	Reform 26%	Labour
More in Common	Tory 33%	Labour 30%	Labour
JL Partners	Tory 32%	Labour 29%	Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.