General election 2024
The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.
This constituency is made up of 76% Bridgwater and West Somerset (2019), 24% Wells (2019).
For more details on the calculation see the method page.
We have removed this tactical voting recommendation because it was contradicted by multiple independent polls.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
| Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | Tory 30% | Labour 28% | Labour |
| Survation | Labour 31% | Tory 28% | Labour |
| Ipsos | Labour 36% | Tory 32% | Labour |
| Savanta | Labour 31% | Tory 28% | Labour |
| Focaldata | Labour 32% | Tory 28% | Labour |
| WeThink | Labour 37% | Tory 22% | Labour |
| Electoral Calculus | Labour 34% | Tory 25% | Labour |
| More in Common | Tory 38% | Labour 31% | Labour |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
Promoted by the Tactical Voting Coalition, 483 Green Lanes, London N13 4BS