General election 2024
The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.
This constituency is made up of 79% Brent Central (2019), 11% Brent North (2019), 10% Hampstead and Kilburn (2019).
For more details on the calculation see the method page.
This is a 'safe' seat for a progressive party. We believe tactical voting is not needed this time. We encourage you to vote for your preferred party.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
| Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | Labour 66% | Tory 11% | Labour |
| Survation | Labour 44% | Lib Dem 16% | None |
| Ipsos | Labour 62% | Tory 14% | Labour |
| Savanta | Labour 62% | Tory 19% | Labour |
| Focaldata | Labour 63% | Tory 14% | Labour |
| WeThink | Labour 61% | Tory 13% | Labour |
| Electoral Calculus | Labour 61% | Tory 12% | Labour |
| More in Common | Labour 55% | Tory 16% | Labour |
| JL Partners | Labour 54% | Tory 17% | Labour |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
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