General election 2024

Blaydon and Consett

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Labour

Liz Twist

Notional 2019 election result

  Labour 41.4%

  Tories 36.7%

  Brexit Party 9.7%

  Lib Dem 7%

  Green 2.6%

  Independent 1.8%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 49% Blaydon (2019), 51% North West Durham (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

Labour are most likely to have won this seat if these were the boundaries in 2019, so should be best placed to defeat the Tories again this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Labour 50% Reform 18% Labour
Survation Labour 53% Reform 21% Labour
Ipsos Labour 53% Reform 20% Labour
Savanta Labour 52% Reform 21% Labour
Focaldata Labour 51% Reform 23% Labour
WeThink Labour 54% Reform 23% Labour
Electoral Calculus Labour 48% Reform 28% Labour
More in Common Labour 53% Reform 20% Labour
JL Partners Labour 48% Reform 22% Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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