General election 2024
The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.
This constituency is made up of 7% Birmingham, Hall Green (2019), 20% Birmingham, Hodge Hill (2019), 71% Birmingham, Ladywood (2019).
For more details on the calculation see the method page.
This is a 'safe' seat for a progressive party. We believe tactical voting is not needed this time. We encourage you to vote for your preferred party.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
| Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | Labour 59% | Green 13% | None |
| Survation | Labour 57% | Lib Dem 12% | None |
| Ipsos | Labour 69% | Green 12% | None |
| Savanta | Labour 75% | Tory 12% | Labour |
| Focaldata | Labour 74% | Reform 7% | Labour |
| WeThink | Labour 66% | Reform 9% | Labour |
| Electoral Calculus | Labour 51% | Other 28% | None |
| More in Common | Labour 68% | Tory 8% | Labour |
| JL Partners | Labour 68% | Reform 10% | Labour |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
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