General election 2024

Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull North

Tactical voting recommendation

Not needed

Notional 2019 election result

  Labour 63.8%

  Tories 26.7%

  Lib Dem 4.4%

  Brexit Party 3%

  Green 1.7%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 66% Birmingham, Hodge Hill (2019), 14% Birmingham, Yardley (2019), 20% Meriden (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

This is a 'safe' seat for a progressive party. We believe tactical voting is not needed this time. We encourage you to vote for your preferred party.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Labour 48% Tory 14% Labour
Survation Labour 56% Tory 14% Labour
Ipsos Labour 61% Tory 16% Labour
Savanta Labour 61% Tory 19% Labour
Focaldata Labour 58% Reform 14% Labour
WeThink Labour 52% Reform 14% Labour
Electoral Calculus Labour 54% Reform 18% Labour
More in Common Labour 40% Green 22% None
JL Partners Labour 48% Reform 21% Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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