General election 2024

Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley

Tactical voting recommendation

Not needed

Notional 2019 election result

  Labour 67%

  Tories 15.1%

  Independent 7.5%

  Lib Dem 7%

  Brexit Party 1.8%

  Green 1.6%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 93% Birmingham, Hall Green (2019), 3% Birmingham, Selly Oak (2019), 4% Birmingham, Yardley (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

This is a 'safe' seat for a progressive party. We believe tactical voting is not needed this time. We encourage you to vote for your preferred party.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Labour 54% Tory 12% Labour
Survation Labour 56% Other 21% None
Ipsos Labour 63% Tory 11% Labour
Savanta Labour 63% Tory 15% Labour
Focaldata Labour 64% Green 11% None
WeThink Labour 63% Reform 10% Labour
Electoral Calculus Labour 54% Tory 12% Labour
More in Common Labour 53% Other 14% None
JL Partners Labour 60% Reform 12% Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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