General election 2024
The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.
This constituency is made up of 85% Birkenhead (2019), 15% Wirral South (2019).
For more details on the calculation see the method page.
This is a 'safe' seat for a progressive party. We believe tactical voting is not needed this time. We encourage you to vote for your preferred party.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
| Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | Labour 54% | Green 16% | None |
| Survation | Labour 57% | Green 20% | None |
| Ipsos | Labour 66% | Green 11% | None |
| Savanta | Labour 64% | Reform 12% | Labour |
| Focaldata | Labour 64% | Reform 14% | Labour |
| WeThink | Labour 60% | Reform 14% | Labour |
| Electoral Calculus | Labour 54% | Green 15% | None |
| More in Common | Labour 52% | Reform 16% | Labour |
| JL Partners | Labour 57% | Reform 17% | Labour |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
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