General election 2024


Tactical voting recommendation

Not needed

Notional 2019 election result

  Labour 57.9%

  Tories 16.7%

  Birkenhead Social Justice Party 14.6%

  Lib Dem 4.3%

  Brexit Party 3.4%

  Green 3.1%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 85% Birkenhead (2019), 15% Wirral South (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

This is a 'safe' seat for a progressive party. We believe tactical voting is not needed this time. We encourage you to vote for your preferred party.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Labour 54% Green 16% None
Survation Labour 57% Green 20% None
Ipsos Labour 66% Green 11% None
Savanta Labour 64% Reform 12% Labour
Focaldata Labour 64% Reform 14% Labour
WeThink Labour 60% Reform 14% Labour
Electoral Calculus Labour 54% Green 15% None
More in Common Labour 52% Reform 16% Labour
JL Partners Labour 57% Reform 17% Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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