Bicester and Woodstock

To vote tactically here, vote

Lib Dem

Calum Alexander Miller

Notional 2019 election result

Tories 51.3%

Lib Dem 26.5%

Labour 19.5%

Green 2.4%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 52% Banbury (2019), 6% Henley (2019), 20% Oxford West and Abingdon (2019), 22% Witney (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

The Lib Dems would have been the most likely second place in 2019 under these new boundaries, so should be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster	Winner	Runner-up	Implied tactical
YouGov	Lib Dem 45%	Tory 25%	Lib Dem
Survation	Lib Dem 33%	Labour 28%	None
Ipsos	Tory 34%	Labour 30%	Labour
Savanta	Tory 30%	Lib Dem 28%	Lib Dem
Focaldata	Lib Dem 40%	Tory 30%	Lib Dem
WeThink	Tory 31%	Labour 29%	Labour
Electoral Calculus	Lib Dem 41%	Tory 22%	Lib Dem
More in Common	Tory 30%	Lib Dem 28%	Lib Dem
JL Partners	Tory 26%	Labour 24%	Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.