General election 2024

Bethnal Green and Stepney

Tactical voting recommendation

Not needed

Notional 2019 election result

  Labour 71.5%

  Tories 11.4%

  Lib Dem 10.3%

  Green 4.1%

  Brexit Party 1.9%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 87% Bethnal Green and Bow (2019), 13% Poplar and Limehouse (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

This is a 'safe' seat for a progressive party. We believe tactical voting is not needed this time. We encourage you to vote for your preferred party.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Labour 51% Green 14% None
Survation Labour 57% Reform 11% Labour
Ipsos Labour 68% Green 12% None
Savanta Labour 69% Tory 10% Labour
Focaldata Labour 71% Green 9% None
WeThink Labour 65% Lib Dem 7% None
Electoral Calculus Labour 44% Other 31% None
More in Common Labour 56% Other 16% None
JL Partners Labour 64% Lib Dem 10% None

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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