General election 2024
The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.
This constituency is made up of 87% Bethnal Green and Bow (2019), 13% Poplar and Limehouse (2019).
For more details on the calculation see the method page.
This is a 'safe' seat for a progressive party. We believe tactical voting is not needed this time. We encourage you to vote for your preferred party.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
| Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | Labour 51% | Green 14% | None |
| Survation | Labour 57% | Reform 11% | Labour |
| Ipsos | Labour 68% | Green 12% | None |
| Savanta | Labour 69% | Tory 10% | Labour |
| Focaldata | Labour 71% | Green 9% | None |
| WeThink | Labour 65% | Lib Dem 7% | None |
| Electoral Calculus | Labour 44% | Other 31% | None |
| More in Common | Labour 56% | Other 16% | None |
| JL Partners | Labour 64% | Lib Dem 10% | None |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
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