General election 2024
The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.
This constituency is made up of 88% Linlithgow and East Falkirk (2019), 12% Livingston (2019).
For more details on the calculation see the method page.
The SNP are most likely to have won this seat if these were the boundaries in 2019, so should be best placed to defeat the Tories again this time.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
| Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | Labour 38% | SNP 31% | None |
| Survation | Labour 49% | SNP 24% | None |
| Ipsos | Labour 40% | SNP 29% | None |
| Savanta | Labour 41% | SNP 30% | None |
| Focaldata | Labour 36% | SNP 28% | None |
| WeThink | SNP 32% | Labour 32% | None |
| Electoral Calculus | Labour 41% | SNP 31% | None |
| More in Common | Labour 36% | SNP 28% | None |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
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