General election 2024
The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.
This constituency is made up of 10% Barnsley Central (2019), 67% Barnsley East (2019), 23% Wentworth and Dearne (2019).
For more details on the calculation see the method page.
Labour are most likely to have won this seat if these were the boundaries in 2019, so should be best placed to defeat the Tories again this time.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
| Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | Labour 53% | Reform 29% | Labour |
| Survation | Labour 45% | Reform 28% | Labour |
| Ipsos | Labour 57% | Reform 25% | Labour |
| Savanta | Labour 50% | Reform 30% | Labour |
| Focaldata | Labour 45% | Reform 36% | Labour |
| WeThink | Labour 37% | Reform 29% | Labour |
| Electoral Calculus | Reform 45% | Labour 38% | Labour |
| More in Common | Labour 48% | Reform 26% | Labour |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
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