General election 2024

Barnsley South

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Labour

Stephanie Peacock

Notional 2019 election result

  Labour 38.5%

  Tories 28.5%

  Brexit Party 26.5%

  Lib Dem 3.6%

  Green 1.9%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 10% Barnsley Central (2019), 67% Barnsley East (2019), 23% Wentworth and Dearne (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

Labour are most likely to have won this seat if these were the boundaries in 2019, so should be best placed to defeat the Tories again this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Labour 52% Reform 32% Labour
Survation Labour 45% Reform 30% Labour
Ipsos Labour 57% Reform 25% Labour
Savanta Labour 50% Reform 30% Labour
Focaldata Labour 43% Reform 41% Labour
WeThink Labour 37% Reform 29% Labour
Electoral Calculus Reform 47% Labour 37% Labour
More in Common Labour 43% Reform 28% Labour
JL Partners Labour 50% Reform 25% Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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