General election 2024

Argyll, Bute and South Lochaber

To vote tactically here, vote

SNP

Brendan O'Hara

Notional 2019 election result

  SNP 44%

  Tories 34.3%

  Lib Dem 14.7%

  Labour 6.7%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 95% Argyll and Bute (2019), 5% Ross, Skye and Lochaber (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

The SNP are most likely to have won this seat if these were the boundaries in 2019, so should be best placed to defeat the Tories again this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov SNP 37% Tory 21% SNP
Survation SNP 38% Tory 24% SNP
Ipsos SNP 37% Labour 26% None
Savanta Labour 32% SNP 30% None
Focaldata SNP 39% Tory 21% SNP
WeThink SNP 37% Labour 24% None
Electoral Calculus SNP 36% Labour 26% None
More in Common SNP 37% Tory 29% SNP
JL Partners SNP 32% Labour 24% None

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

Get updates on tactical voting

This will subscribe you to updates from tactical.vote. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy policy

Promoted by the Tactical Voting Coalition, 483 Green Lanes, London N13 4BS