General election 2024

Arbroath and Broughty Ferry

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SNP

Stephen Patrick Gethins

Notional 2019 election result

  SNP 52.3%

  Tories 29.4%

  Labour 10.6%

  Lib Dem 7.2%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 32% Angus (2019), 68% Dundee East (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

The SNP are most likely to have won this seat if these were the boundaries in 2019, so should be best placed to defeat the Tories again this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov SNP 38% Labour 31% None
Survation Labour 36% SNP 34% None
Ipsos SNP 36% Labour 35% None
Savanta SNP 36% Labour 34% None
Focaldata SNP 41% Labour 25% None
WeThink SNP 46% Labour 25% None
Electoral Calculus SNP 43% Labour 27% None
More in Common SNP 37% Labour 32% None
JL Partners Labour 39% SNP 31% None

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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