Aldridge-Brownhills

To vote tactically here, vote

Labour

Luke John Davies

Notional 2019 election result

Tories 65.7%

Labour 25.3%

Lib Dem 5.6%

Green 1.9%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 83% Aldridge-Brownhills (2019), 17% Walsall South (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

Labour would have been the most likely second place in 2019 under these new boundaries, so should be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster	Winner	Runner-up	Implied tactical
YouGov	Tory 39%	Labour 31%	Labour
Survation	Labour 45%	Tory 34%	Labour
Ipsos	Tory 39%	Labour 35%	Labour
Savanta	Labour 36%	Tory 32%	Labour
Focaldata	Labour 34%	Tory 34%	Labour
WeThink	Labour 35%	Reform 33%	Labour
Electoral Calculus	Tory 36%	Labour 33%	Labour
More in Common	Tory 40%	Labour 37%	Labour
JL Partners	Tory 32%	Labour 31%	Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.