General election 2024

Airdrie and Shotts

Tactical voting recommendation


Notional 2019 election result

  SNP 45.2%

  Labour 32%

  Tories 17.5%

  Lib Dem 3.6%

  Green 1.6%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 91% Airdrie and Shotts (2019), 9% Motherwell and Wishaw (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

This seat is a contest between two progressive parties. Vote for whichever you prefer.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Labour 52% SNP 32% None
Survation Labour 56% SNP 27% None
Ipsos Labour 55% SNP 31% None
Savanta Labour 46% SNP 39% None
Focaldata Labour 51% SNP 28% None
WeThink Labour 44% SNP 38% None
Electoral Calculus Labour 47% SNP 33% None
More in Common Labour 49% SNP 28% None
JL Partners Labour 50% SNP 29% None

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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