General election 2024

Aberdeen North

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Kirsty Blackman

Notional 2019 election result

  SNP 49.7%

  Tories 25.9%

  Labour 10.7%

  Lib Dem 8.3%

  Brexit Party 1.9%

  Green 1.6%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 69% Aberdeen North (2019), 29% Gordon (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

The SNP are most likely to have won this seat if these were the boundaries in 2019, so should be best placed to defeat the Tories again this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov SNP 38% Labour 33% None
Survation SNP 33% Labour 32% None
Ipsos SNP 40% Labour 30% None
Savanta SNP 36% Labour 35% None
Focaldata SNP 36% Labour 30% None
WeThink SNP 44% Labour 26% None
Electoral Calculus SNP 38% Labour 31% None
More in Common SNP 33% Labour 29% None
JL Partners SNP 36% Labour 32% None

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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